Qualification · Qualification 61

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

338.03 – 134.91

93%7%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

349 – 118

Prediction correct · off by 13.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 563 ±11.7

7327Metal Jackets

Season APEX 33.1Event APEX -14.62Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 95

4414HighTide

Season APEX 418.9Event APEX 300.19Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6560Charging Champions

Season APEX 111Event APEX 52.46Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 432.1 ±11.7

1538The Holy Cows

A+

Season APEX 299.6Event APEX 99.51Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6060Circuit Serpents

Season APEX 71.7Event APEX 33.65Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

22Double Deuce

Season APEX 60.8Event APEX 1.75Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7327, 4414, 6560

/ 100 compat

Projected

338 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 7327, 4414, 6560

Auto

55.9 16%

Teleop

204.2 60%

Endgame

79.5 23%

Strengths

· 4414 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1538, 6060, 22

/ 100 compat

Projected

134.9 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 1538, 6060, 22

Auto

24.6 19%

Teleop

81.9 62%

Endgame

25.6 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.45 · Blue 0.67

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score338pts

Blue projected score134.9pts

Red win probability93%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 203.1
Score range: 107–366
Upset likelihood: 7%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 467 vs event baseline 153.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

563Season APEX432.1

55.9Auto24.6

204.2Teleop81.9

79.5Endgame25.6

26Consistency20

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	40	42
teleop	212	58
endgame	77	3
foul	20	15
total	349	118

Result

Final score

349 – 118

Prediction correct · off by 13.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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