Qualification · Qualification 60

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

42.19 – 148.89

21%79%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

68 – 261

Prediction correct · off by 69 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 264.2 ±12.4

691Project 691 Robotics

Season APEX 46.3Event APEX 22.72Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11024HYPERNOVA

Season APEX 151.4Event APEX 19.12Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1661Griffitrons

Season APEX 66.5Event APEX 0.35Rank 36Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 492.3 ±10.5

7415Jaguar Robotics Sponsored By Feit Electric

Season APEX 284.3Event APEX 100.74Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6934Scorps

Season APEX 102.9Event APEX 19.76Rank 14Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3925Ventura Robotics

Season APEX 105.1Event APEX 28.39Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 691, 11024, 1661

/ 100 compat

Projected

42.2 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 691, 11024, 1661

Auto

18.4 50%

Teleop

8.1 22%

Endgame

10.2 28%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7415, 6934, 3925

/ 100 compat

Projected

148.9 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 7415, 6934, 3925

Auto

14.9 10%

Teleop

97.8 66%

Endgame

35.7 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.86 · Blue 2.13

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score42.2pts

Blue projected score148.9pts

Red win probability21%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -106.7
Score range: 14–177
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 329 vs event baseline 153.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

264.2Season APEX492.3

18.4Auto14.9

8.1Teleop97.8

10.2Endgame35.7

21Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	62
teleop	26	157
endgame	22	42
foul	5	0
total	68	261

Result

Final score

68 – 261

Prediction correct · off by 69 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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