Qualification · Qualification 58

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

156.98 – 60.9

77%23%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

151 – 89

Prediction correct · off by 17 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 487.9 ±11.2

3501Firebots

Season APEX 284.8Event APEX 75.44Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5869QHHS Aqueducks

Season APEX 61.5Event APEX 0.96Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1160Titanium Robotics

Season APEX 141.6Event APEX 80.58Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 403.6 ±11

1388Eagle Robotics

Season APEX 206.4Event APEX 35.84Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

192GRT

Season APEX 113.6Event APEX -7.25Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9271Cyber Porpoises

Season APEX 83.6Event APEX 32.31Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3501, 5869, 1160

/ 100 compat

Projected

157 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 3501, 5869, 1160

Auto

18.2 12%

Teleop

82.6 56%

Endgame

45.7 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1388, 192, 9271

/ 100 compat

Projected

60.9 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 1388, 192, 9271

Auto

9.8 19%

Teleop

33.3 66%

Endgame

7.3 14%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.15 · Blue 0.89

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score157pts

Blue projected score60.9pts

Red win probability77%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 96.1
Score range: 34–184
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 240 vs event baseline 152.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

487.9Season APEX403.6

18.2Auto9.8

82.6Teleop33.3

45.7Endgame7.3

37Consistency33

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	35	0
teleop	80	69
endgame	21	20
foul	15	0
total	151	89

Result

Final score

151 – 89

Prediction correct · off by 17 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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