Qualification · Qualification 57
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
458.54 – 185.78
97%3%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
500 – 203
Prediction correct · off by 29.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 779.8 ±9.9
Season APEX 71.7Event APEX 31.03Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 418.9Event APEX 300.18Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 289.2Event APEX 127.33Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 484.5 ±11.7
Season APEX 334.7Event APEX 135.12Rank 12Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 78.7Event APEX 9.5Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 71.1Event APEX 41.16Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6060, 4414, 599
79
/ 100 compatProjected
458.5 pts
~2.6 RP (district)
Teams: 6060, 4414, 599
Auto
81.9 18%
Teleop
287.4 63%
Endgame
90.5 20%
Strengths
- · 4414 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 14%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 6036, 7323, 4711
73
/ 100 compatProjected
185.8 pts
~0.7 RP (district)
Teams: 6036, 7323, 4711
Auto
44.9 25%
Teleop
98.9 54%
Endgame
39.4 22%
Strengths
- · 6036 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 54%
Supercharged: 14%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.63 · Blue 0.65
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score458.5pts
Blue projected score185.8pts
Red win probability97%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 54%, blue 49%
Supercharged bonusred 14%, blue 8%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 272.8
- Score range
- 159–486
- Upset likelihood
- 3%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
779.8Season APEX484.5
81.9Auto44.9
287.4Teleop98.9
90.5Endgame39.4
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 76 | 53 |
| teleop | 268 | 75 |
| endgame | 146 | 55 |
| foul | 10 | 20 |
| total | 500 | 203 |
Result
Final score
500 – 203
Prediction correct · off by 29.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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