Qualification · Qualification 54

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

136.71 – 140.19

49%51%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

284 – 158

Prediction missed · off by 82.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 465.6 ±11.7

6934Scorps

Season APEX 102.9Event APEX 3.17Rank 14Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

691Project 691 Robotics

Season APEX 46.3Event APEX 9.08Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

973Greybots

A+

Season APEX 316.4Event APEX 124.46Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 499.4 ±9.8

1388Eagle Robotics

Season APEX 206.4Event APEX 34.4Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1160Titanium Robotics

Season APEX 141.6Event APEX 81.53Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11024HYPERNOVA

Season APEX 151.4Event APEX 24.26Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6934, 691, 973

/ 100 compat

Projected

136.7 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 6934, 691, 973

Auto

49.3 36%

Teleop

70.1 51%

Endgame

17.9 13%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1388, 1160, 11024

/ 100 compat

Projected

140.2 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 1388, 1160, 11024

Auto

16.7 13%

Teleop

89.9 68%

Endgame

26.1 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.54 · Blue 1.58

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score136.7pts

Blue projected score140.2pts

Red win probability49%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -3.5
Score range: 110–167
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 442 vs event baseline 149.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

465.6Season APEX499.4

49.3Auto16.7

70.1Teleop89.9

17.9Endgame26.1

35Consistency31

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	64	20
teleop	171	70
endgame	49	33
foul	0	35
total	284	158

Result

Final score

284 – 158

Prediction missed · off by 82.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.