Qualification · Qualification 53

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

30.5 – 441.83

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

66 – 487

Prediction correct · off by 40.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 199.1 ±13.9

4711The Flying Aces

Season APEX 71.1Event APEX 38.06Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1661Griffitrons

Season APEX 66.5Event APEX -4.28Rank 36Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5869QHHS Aqueducks

Season APEX 61.5Event APEX -3.28Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 960.7 ±8.7

3501Firebots

Season APEX 284.8Event APEX 73.43Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3512Spartatroniks

Season APEX 257Event APEX 68.78Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4414HighTide

Season APEX 418.9Event APEX 299.62Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4711, 1661, 5869

/ 100 compat

Projected

30.5 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 4711, 1661, 5869

Auto

9.9 38%

Teleop

12.3 47%

Endgame

4.0 15%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3501, 3512, 4414

/ 100 compat

Projected

441.8 pts

~2.7 RP (district)

Teams: 3501, 3512, 4414

Auto

73.7 17%

Teleop

267.0 61%

Endgame

98.7 22%

Strengths

· 4414 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.48 · Blue 2.72

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score30.5pts

Blue projected score441.8pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -411.3
Score range: 4–469
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 553 vs event baseline 147.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

199.1Season APEX960.7

9.9Auto73.7

12.3Teleop267

4Endgame98.7

14Consistency40

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	6	100
teleop	17	297
endgame	28	90
foul	15	0
total	66	487

Result

Final score

66 – 487

Prediction correct · off by 40.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.