Qualification · Qualification 51

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

36.83 – 25.72

53%47%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

67 – 52

Prediction correct · off by 28.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 195.9 ±12.7

10936Hooverstan

Season APEX 37.9Event APEX 22.7Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5285Sea Kings Robotics

Season APEX 79.3Event APEX 11.67Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7323TriTron

Season APEX 78.7Event APEX 2.46Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 219.8 ±12.8

8521CyberLions

Season APEX 42.4Event APEX 15.74Rank 35Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

192GRT

Season APEX 113.6Event APEX -6.11Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8533Rancho Reapers

Season APEX 63.8Event APEX 16.09Rank 17Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10936, 5285, 7323

/ 100 compat

Projected

36.8 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 10936, 5285, 7323

Auto

26.5 70%

Teleop

12.4 33%

Endgame

-0.9 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8521, 192, 8533

/ 100 compat

Projected

25.7 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 8521, 192, 8533

Auto

4.4 21%

Teleop

-7.1 0%

Endgame

23.9 100%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.58 · Blue 1.36

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score36.8pts

Blue projected score25.7pts

Red win probability53%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 11.1
Score range: -1–64
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 119 vs event baseline 147.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

195.9Season APEX219.8

26.5Auto4.4

12.4Teleop-7.1

-0.9Endgame23.9

16Consistency27

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	0
teleop	25	22
endgame	20	30
foul	0	0
total	67	52

Result

Final score

67 – 52

Prediction correct · off by 28.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.