Qualification · Qualification 48

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

177.79 – 126.06

66%34%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

214 – 124

Prediction correct · off by 19.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 470.3 ±10.5

3512Spartatroniks

Season APEX 257Event APEX 60.08Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6060Circuit Serpents

Season APEX 71.7Event APEX 40.55Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1160Titanium Robotics

Season APEX 141.6Event APEX 77.16Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 228.4 ±13.3

6560Charging Champions

Season APEX 111Event APEX 77.53Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4711The Flying Aces

Season APEX 71.1Event APEX 36.86Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

691Project 691 Robotics

Season APEX 46.3Event APEX 11.67Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3512, 6060, 1160

/ 100 compat

Projected

177.8 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 3512, 6060, 1160

Auto

23.7 14%

Teleop

106.3 61%

Endgame

44.7 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6560, 4711, 691

/ 100 compat

Projected

126.1 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 6560, 4711, 691

Auto

14.0 11%

Teleop

84.9 65%

Endgame

32.2 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.88 · Blue 1.22

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score177.8pts

Blue projected score126.1pts

Red win probability66%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 51.7
Score range: 99–205
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 338 vs event baseline 149.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

470.3Season APEX228.4

23.7Auto14

106.3Teleop84.9

44.7Endgame32.2

32Consistency31

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	41	30
teleop	120	61
endgame	53	33
foul	0	0
total	214	124

Result

Final score

214 – 124

Prediction correct · off by 19.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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