Qualification · Qualification 47

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

118.61 – 247.4

17%83%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

134 – 322

Prediction correct · off by 45 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 551.2 ±10.5

6036Peninsula Robotics

Season APEX 334.7Event APEX 126.77Rank 12Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6934Scorps

Season APEX 102.9Event APEX 0.22Rank 14Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

192GRT

Season APEX 113.6Event APEX -8.38Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 648 ±10.7

8521CyberLions

Season APEX 42.4Event APEX 10.44Rank 35Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

973Greybots

A+

Season APEX 316.4Event APEX 118.39Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

599The Robodox

Season APEX 289.2Event APEX 118.57Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6036, 6934, 192

/ 100 compat

Projected

118.6 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 6036, 6934, 192

Auto

43.6 38%

Teleop

50.5 44%

Endgame

20.4 18%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8521, 973, 599

/ 100 compat

Projected

247.4 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 8521, 973, 599

Auto

66.7 27%

Teleop

146.6 60%

Endgame

29.8 12%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.84 · Blue 2.26

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score118.6pts

Blue projected score247.4pts

Red win probability17%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -128.8
Score range: 92–274
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 456 vs event baseline 147.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

551.2Season APEX648

43.6Auto66.7

50.5Teleop146.6

20.4Endgame29.8

28Consistency13

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	32	85
teleop	51	198
endgame	36	39
foul	15	0
total	134	322

Result

Final score

134 – 322

Prediction correct · off by 45 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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