Qualification · Qualification 4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

49.1 – 578.63

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

18 – 487

Prediction correct · off by 61.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 179.4 ±12.7

7323TriTron

Season APEX 78.7Event APEX 8.9Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6060Circuit Serpents

Season APEX 71.7Event APEX 28.45Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6764Flash Drives

Season APEX 29Event APEX 11.75Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 95

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 1019.6 ±8.7

7415Jaguar Robotics Sponsored By Feit Electric

Season APEX 284.3Event APEX 109.71Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

973Greybots

A+

Season APEX 316.4Event APEX 152.96Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4414HighTide

Season APEX 418.9Event APEX 315.96Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7323, 6060, 6764

/ 100 compat

Projected

49.1 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 7323, 6060, 6764

Auto

17.7 38%

Teleop

11.4 25%

Endgame

17.0 37%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7415, 973, 4414

/ 100 compat

Projected

578.6 pts

~2.7 RP (district)

Teams: 7415, 973, 4414

Auto

112.8 20%

Teleop

347.8 60%

Endgame

116.8 20%

Strengths

· 4414 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.49 · Blue 2.71

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score49.1pts

Blue projected score578.6pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -529.5
Score range: 19–609
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 505 vs event baseline 169.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

179.4Season APEX1019.6

17.7Auto112.8

11.4Teleop347.8

17Endgame116.8

48Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	7	91
teleop	9	347
endgame	2	49
foul	0	0
total	18	487

Result

Final score

18 – 487

Prediction correct · off by 61.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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