Qualification · Qualification 39

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

47.62 – 62.79

45%55%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

29 – 62

Prediction correct · off by 9.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 198.3 ±13.3

9271Cyber Porpoises

Season APEX 83.6Event APEX 20.79Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9520Rock-it Robotics

Season APEX 81.6Event APEX 29.06Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7327Metal Jackets

Season APEX 33.1Event APEX -2.23Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 95

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 292.2 ±11.7

10936Hooverstan

Season APEX 37.9Event APEX 34.31Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11024HYPERNOVA

Season APEX 151.4Event APEX 23.68Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6934Scorps

Season APEX 102.9Event APEX 4.8Rank 14Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9271, 9520, 7327

/ 100 compat

Projected

47.6 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 9271, 9520, 7327

Auto

15.7 33%

Teleop

2.7 6%

Endgame

29.7 62%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10936, 11024, 6934

/ 100 compat

Projected

62.8 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 10936, 11024, 6934

Auto

25.1 40%

Teleop

22.4 36%

Endgame

15.3 24%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.34 · Blue 1.56

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score47.6pts

Blue projected score62.8pts

Red win probability45%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -15.2
Score range: 22–89
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 91 vs event baseline 147.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

198.3Season APEX292.2

15.7Auto25.1

2.7Teleop22.4

29.7Endgame15.3

31Consistency32

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	17
teleop	5	34
endgame	9	11
foul	0	0
total	29	62

Result

Final score

29 – 62

Prediction correct · off by 9.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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