Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

217.08 – 50.5

89%11%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

237 – 180

Prediction correct · off by 74.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 578 ±9.8

5136MechaPirates

Season APEX 152.1Event APEX 45.65Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7415Jaguar Robotics Sponsored By Feit Electric

Season APEX 284.3Event APEX 97.52Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1160Titanium Robotics

Season APEX 141.6Event APEX 73.91Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 438.9 ±11.1

7323TriTron

Season APEX 78.7Event APEX -38.18Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3512Spartatroniks

Season APEX 257Event APEX 50.2Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5012Gryffingear

Season APEX 103.2Event APEX 38.48Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5136, 7415, 1160

/ 100 compat

Projected

217.1 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 5136, 7415, 1160

Auto

17.6 8%

Teleop

150.8 70%

Endgame

45.7 21%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7323, 3512, 5012

/ 100 compat

Projected

50.5 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 7323, 3512, 5012

Auto

28.8 55%

Teleop

10.0 19%

Endgame

14.0 27%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.41 · Blue 0.72

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score217.1pts

Blue projected score50.5pts

Red win probability89%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 166.6
Score range: 25–243
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 417 vs event baseline 143.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

578Season APEX438.9

17.6Auto28.8

150.8Teleop10

45.7Endgame14

68Consistency35

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	45
teleop	144	104
endgame	63	31
foul	15	0
total	237	180

Result

Final score

237 – 180

Prediction correct · off by 74.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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