Qualification · Qualification 29

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

151.5 – 52.51

77%23%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

114 – 116

Prediction missed · off by 50.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 396.8 ±12.4

6764Flash Drives

Season APEX 29Event APEX 24.4Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 95

7327Metal Jackets

Season APEX 33.1Event APEX -14.09Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 95

6036Peninsula Robotics

Season APEX 334.7Event APEX 141.19Rank 12Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 287 ±12.8

1160Titanium Robotics

Season APEX 141.6Event APEX 65.88Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8533Rancho Reapers

Season APEX 63.8Event APEX -40.63Rank 17Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9520Rock-it Robotics

Season APEX 81.6Event APEX 27.26Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6764, 7327, 6036

/ 100 compat

Projected

151.5 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 6764, 7327, 6036

Auto

52.4 37%

Teleop

46.9 33%

Endgame

42.3 30%

Strengths

· 6036 anchors offense
· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1160, 8533, 9520

/ 100 compat

Projected

52.5 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 1160, 8533, 9520

Auto

2.9 5%

Teleop

12.1 21%

Endgame

42.3 74%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.06 · Blue 1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score151.5pts

Blue projected score52.5pts

Red win probability77%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 99
Score range: 27–178
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Combined score 230 vs event baseline 145.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

396.8Season APEX287

52.4Auto2.9

46.9Teleop12.1

42.3Endgame42.3

111Consistency22

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	47	9
teleop	61	59
endgame	1	48
foul	5	0
total	114	116

Result

Final score

114 – 116

Prediction missed · off by 50.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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