Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

177.14 – 36.68

85%15%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

348 – 8

Prediction correct · off by 99.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 631.1 ±10.7

4711The Flying Aces

Season APEX 71.1Event APEX 26.01Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5199Robot Dolphins From Outer Space

Season APEX 275.7Event APEX 80.6Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7415Jaguar Robotics Sponsored By Feit Electric

Season APEX 284.3Event APEX 70.53Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 264.4 ±11.7

22Double Deuce

Season APEX 60.8Event APEX 3.31Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3309Friarbots

Season APEX 90Event APEX 35.62Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

192GRT

Season APEX 113.6Event APEX -2.25Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4711, 5199, 7415

/ 100 compat

Projected

177.1 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 4711, 5199, 7415

Auto

16.9 10%

Teleop

124.0 70%

Endgame

35.3 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 22, 3309, 192

/ 100 compat

Projected

36.7 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 22, 3309, 192

Auto

23.3 65%

Teleop

8.0 22%

Endgame

4.8 13%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.33 · Blue 0.71

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score177.1pts

Blue projected score36.7pts

Red win probability85%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 140.5
Score range: 12–202
Upset likelihood: 15%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 356 vs event baseline 138.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

631.1Season APEX264.4

16.9Auto23.3

124Teleop8

35.3Endgame4.8

41Consistency169

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	35	8
teleop	222	0
endgame	91	0
foul	0	0
total	348	8

Result

Final score

348 – 8

Prediction correct · off by 99.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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