Qualification · Qualification 16
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
94.99 – 235.24
15%85%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
68 – 240
Prediction correct · off by 15.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 287.2 ±12.8
Season APEX 34.5Event APEX 27.19Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 46.3Event APEX 1.1Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 206.4Event APEX 66.7Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 830.5 ±8.7
Season APEX 257Event APEX 82.5Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 289.2Event APEX 44.73Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 284.3Event APEX 108.01Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5500, 691, 1388
59
/ 100 compatProjected
95 pts
~0.8 RP (district)
Teams: 5500, 691, 1388
Auto
26.8 29%
Teleop
50.1 53%
Endgame
16.9 18%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 46%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3512, 599, 7415
85
/ 100 compatProjected
235.2 pts
~2.4 RP (district)
Teams: 3512, 599, 7415
Auto
44.8 19%
Teleop
153.0 65%
Endgame
36.6 16%
Strengths
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 46%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.82 · Blue 2.39
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score95pts
Blue projected score235.2pts
Red win probability15%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 46%, blue 60%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 7%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -140.2
- Score range
- 72–258
- Upset likelihood
- 15%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
287.2Season APEX830.5
26.8Auto44.8
50.1Teleop153
16.9Endgame36.6
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 9 | 21 |
| teleop | 45 | 174 |
| endgame | 14 | 45 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 68 | 240 |
Result
Final score
68 – 240
Prediction correct · off by 15.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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