Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 16

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

94.99235.24

15%85%
Actual result
Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

68240

Prediction correct · off by 15.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 287.2 ±12.8
Season APEX 34.5Event APEX 27.19Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 46.3Event APEX 1.1Rank 29Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 206.4Event APEX 66.7Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 830.5 ±8.7
Season APEX 257Event APEX 82.5Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 289.2Event APEX 44.73Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 284.3Event APEX 108.01Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5500, 691, 1388
59
/ 100 compat
Projected
95 pts
~0.8 RP (district)
Teams: 5500, 691, 1388
Auto
26.8 29%
Teleop
50.1 53%
Endgame
16.9 18%
Strengths
  • · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
RP bonus probability
Energized: 46%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3512, 599, 7415
85
/ 100 compat
Projected
235.2 pts
~2.4 RP (district)
Teams: 3512, 599, 7415
Auto
44.8 19%
Teleop
153.0 65%
Endgame
36.6 16%
Strengths
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
RP bonus probability
Energized: 46%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.82 · Blue 2.39
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score95pts
Blue projected score235.2pts
Red win probability15%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 46%, blue 60%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 7%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
-140.2
Score range
72258
Upset likelihood
15%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 308 vs event baseline 126.6.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

287.2Season APEX830.5
26.8Auto44.8
50.1Teleop153
16.9Endgame36.6
0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto921
teleop45174
endgame1445
foul00
total68240

Result

Final score

68240

Prediction correct · off by 15.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

Match videos

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