Qualification · Qualification 15

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

122.26 – 0

86%14%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

64 – 38

Prediction correct · off by 48.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 442.4 ±11.7

6934Scorps

Season APEX 102.9Event APEX 51.79Rank 14Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8533Rancho Reapers

Season APEX 63.8Event APEX 0.55Rank 17Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5199Robot Dolphins From Outer Space

Season APEX 275.7Event APEX 69.92Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 217.8 ±12.8

192GRT

Season APEX 113.6Event APEX -31.66Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4711The Flying Aces

Season APEX 71.1Event APEX 33.15Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7327Metal Jackets

Season APEX 33.1Event APEX -26.84Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 95

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6934, 8533, 5199

/ 100 compat

Projected

122.3 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 6934, 8533, 5199

Auto

14.9 12%

Teleop

75.2 62%

Endgame

30.5 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 192, 4711, 7327

/ 100 compat

Projected

-25.3 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 192, 4711, 7327

Auto

7.8 0%

Teleop

-44.0 100%

Endgame

9.2 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.25 · Blue 0.74

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score122.3pts

Blue projected score-25.3pts

Red win probability86%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 122.3
Score range: -24–146
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 102 vs event baseline 132.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

442.4Season APEX217.8

14.9Auto7.8

75.2Teleop-44

30.5Endgame9.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	26	12
teleop	19	16
endgame	19	5
foul	0	5
total	64	38

Result

Final score

64 – 38

Prediction correct · off by 48.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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