Qualification · Qualification 14
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
82.01 – 97.01
45%55%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
139 – 96
Prediction missed · off by 29 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 515.6 ±10.5
Season APEX 152.1Event APEX 39.34Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 78.7Event APEX -8.42Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 284.8Event APEX 51.09Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 281.7 ±12.2
Season APEX 79.3Event APEX 27.6Rank 7Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 141.6Event APEX 50.71Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 60.8Event APEX 18.7Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5136, 7323, 3501
52
/ 100 compatProjected
82 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 5136, 7323, 3501
Auto
20.4 25%
Teleop
32.5 40%
Endgame
28.0 35%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 53%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5285, 1160, 22
58
/ 100 compatProjected
97 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 5285, 1160, 22
Auto
22.2 24%
Teleop
52.4 57%
Endgame
17.2 19%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 53%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.52 · Blue 1.69
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score82pts
Blue projected score97pts
Red win probability45%
Event bonus sample174alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 53%, blue 54%
Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -15
- Score range
- 58–121
- Upset likelihood
- 45%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
515.6Season APEX281.7
20.4Auto22.2
32.5Teleop52.4
28Endgame17.2
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 33 | 18 |
| teleop | 90 | 64 |
| endgame | 16 | 14 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 139 | 96 |
Result
Final score
139 – 96
Prediction missed · off by 29 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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