Qualification · Qualification 12

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

160.76 – 88.47

71%29%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

170 – 136

Prediction correct · off by 28.4 points

Limited current-season data (11 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 554.7 ±10.5

589Falkon Robotics

Season APEX 186.8Event APEX 52.64Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9271Cyber Porpoises

Season APEX 83.6Event APEX -9.2Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7415Jaguar Robotics Sponsored By Feit Electric

Season APEX 284.3Event APEX 117.32Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 388.6 ±12.4

599The Robodox

Season APEX 289.2Event APEX 29.49Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10936Hooverstan

Season APEX 37.9Event APEX 53.18Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5869QHHS Aqueducks

Season APEX 61.5Event APEX 5.8Rank 26Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 589, 9271, 7415

/ 100 compat

Projected

160.8 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 589, 9271, 7415

Auto

20.8 13%

Teleop

112.8 70%

Endgame

27.7 17%

Strengths

· 7415 anchors offense

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 599, 10936, 5869

/ 100 compat

Projected

88.5 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 599, 10936, 5869

Auto

40.7 48%

Teleop

20.8 24%

Endgame

23.6 28%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.87 · Blue 1.13

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score160.8pts

Blue projected score88.5pts

Red win probability71%

Event bonus sample174alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 72.3
Score range: 65–184
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 306 vs event baseline 129.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

554.7Season APEX388.6

20.8Auto40.7

112.8Teleop20.8

27.7Endgame23.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	40
teleop	99	86
endgame	47	10
foul	0	0
total	170	136

Result

Final score

170 – 136

Prediction correct · off by 28.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.