CA District Silicon Valley Event presented by Apple

Playoff · Playoff Match 4 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

315.83 – 192.41

82%18%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

221 – 93

Prediction correct · off by 97.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 626.5 ±9.9

1351TKO

Season APEX 83.9Event APEX 38.19Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5026Iron Panthers

A+

Season APEX 312.8Event APEX 130.23Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

972Iron Claw

Season APEX 229.8Event APEX 147.41Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 494.8 ±11.1

100The Wildhats

Season APEX 100.1Event APEX 41.94Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2854The Prototypes

Season APEX 109.7Event APEX 50.69Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6238Popcorn Penguins

Season APEX 285Event APEX 99.78Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1351, 5026, 972

/ 100 compat

Projected

315.8 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 1351, 5026, 972

Auto

48.9 16%

Teleop

168.5 56%

Endgame

85.7 28%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 100, 2854, 6238

/ 100 compat

Projected

192.4 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 100, 2854, 6238

Auto

31.5 16%

Teleop

121.6 63%

Endgame

39.6 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 14%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.42 · Blue 1.06

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score315.8pts

Blue projected score192.4pts

Red win probability82%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 14%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 123.4
Score range: 158–350
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 314 vs event baseline 187.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

626.5Season APEX494.8

48.9Auto31.5

168.5Teleop121.6

85.7Endgame39.6

0Consistency21

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	68	27
teleop	134	23
endgame	4	8
foul	15	35
total	221	93

Result

Final score

221 – 93

Prediction correct · off by 97.1 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.