CA District Silicon Valley Event presented by Apple

Qualification · Qualification 69

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

228.85 – 74.99

87%13%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

276 – 114

Prediction correct · off by 43.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 642.2 ±9.8

1967The Janksters

Season APEX 141.2Event APEX 27.43Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6962Antares

Season APEX 188.2Event APEX 71.63Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5026Iron Panthers

A+

Season APEX 312.8Event APEX 129.79Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 415.3 ±11

1671Buchanan Bird Brains

Season APEX 267.1Event APEX 31.46Rank 22Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7607The Blackbirds

Season APEX 77.8Event APEX 25.51Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6059System Overload Robotics

Season APEX 70.4Event APEX 18.02Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1967, 6962, 5026

/ 100 compat

Projected

228.9 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 1967, 6962, 5026

Auto

47.2 21%

Teleop

128.7 57%

Endgame

48.6 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1671, 7607, 6059

/ 100 compat

Projected

75 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 1671, 7607, 6059

Auto

8.2 11%

Teleop

46.4 64%

Endgame

17.9 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 10%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.47 · Blue 0.87

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score228.9pts

Blue projected score75pts

Red win probability87%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 10%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 153.9
Score range: 42–262
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 390 vs event baseline 180.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

642.2Season APEX415.3

47.2Auto8.2

128.7Teleop46.4

48.6Endgame17.9

0Consistency33

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	40	14
teleop	133	56
endgame	28	39
foul	75	5
total	276	114

Result

Final score

276 – 114

Prediction correct · off by 43.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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