CA District Silicon Valley Event presented by Apple

Qualification · Qualification 49

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

62.06 – 69.47

48%52%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

56 – 80

Prediction correct · off by 8.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 404.3 ±10.5

6059System Overload Robotics

Season APEX 70.4Event APEX -1.42Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6418The Missfits

Season APEX 157.7Event APEX 50.65Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6665C-Otters

Season APEX 176.2Event APEX 12.83Rank 37Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 246 ±11.6

1700Gatorbotics

Season APEX 69Event APEX 19.2Rank 20Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

100The Wildhats

Season APEX 100.1Event APEX 25.92Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6814Ellipse

Season APEX 76.9Event APEX 24.35Rank 8Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6059, 6418, 6665

/ 100 compat

Projected

62.1 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 6059, 6418, 6665

Auto

2.4 5%

Teleop

45.6 87%

Endgame

4.2 8%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1700, 100, 6814

/ 100 compat

Projected

69.5 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 1700, 100, 6814

Auto

25.7 43%

Teleop

30.6 52%

Endgame

3.0 5%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.37 · Blue 1.58

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score62.1pts

Blue projected score69.5pts

Red win probability48%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -7.4
Score range: 30–101
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 136 vs event baseline 180.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

404.3Season APEX246

2.4Auto25.7

45.6Teleop30.6

4.2Endgame3

0Consistency50

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	18
teleop	12	38
endgame	27	19
foul	0	5
total	56	80

Result

Final score

56 – 80

Prediction correct · off by 8.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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