Qualification · Qualification 37
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
406.3 – 201.95
93%7%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
611 – 219
Prediction correct · off by 110.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 899.1 ±8.7
Season APEX 285Event APEX 74.98Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 437.9Event APEX 341.65Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 176.2Event APEX -10.33Rank 37Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 519.6 ±11.2
Season APEX 282.2Event APEX 93.78Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 181.9Event APEX 87.01Rank 24Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 21.16Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 6238, 254, 6665
84
/ 100 compatProjected
406.3 pts
~2.5 RP (district)
Teams: 6238, 254, 6665
Auto
75.3 19%
Teleop
248.9 62%
Endgame
80.1 20%
Strengths
- · 254 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 45%
Supercharged: 14%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 3256, 8048, 11247
66
/ 100 compatProjected
202 pts
~0.8 RP (district)
Teams: 3256, 8048, 11247
Auto
25.2 13%
Teleop
129.9 68%
Endgame
36.3 19%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 45%
Supercharged: 14%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.46 · Blue 0.84
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score406.3pts
Blue projected score202pts
Red win probability93%
Event bonus sample178alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 45%, blue 60%
Supercharged bonusred 14%, blue 7%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 204.4
- Score range
- 172–436
- Upset likelihood
- 7%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
899.1Season APEX519.6
75.3Auto25.2
248.9Teleop129.9
80.1Endgame36.3
114Consistency18
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 118 | 23 |
| teleop | 363 | 111 |
| endgame | 130 | 85 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 611 | 219 |
Result
Final score
611 – 219
Prediction correct · off by 110.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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