CA District Silicon Valley Event presented by Apple

Qualification · Qualification 26

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

206.16 – 224.21

44%56%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

44 – 347

Prediction correct · off by 142.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 492.9 ±10.5

2813Gear Heads

Season APEX 275.8Event APEX 44.36Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6059System Overload Robotics

Season APEX 70.4Event APEX 34.74Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

115MVRT

Season APEX 146.7Event APEX 127.06Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 825.1 ±9.3

9470Ctrl-Alt-Defeat

Season APEX 385.2Event APEX 163.94Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3256WarriorBorgs

Season APEX 282.2Event APEX 62Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6418The Missfits

Season APEX 157.7Event APEX -1.73Rank 16Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2813, 6059, 115

/ 100 compat

Projected

206.2 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 2813, 6059, 115

Auto

24.4 12%

Teleop

132.4 64%

Endgame

48.9 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9470, 3256, 6418

/ 100 compat

Projected

224.2 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 9470, 3256, 6418

Auto

49.4 24%

Teleop

126.8 60%

Endgame

34.0 16%

Strengths

· 9470 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.54 · Blue 1.79

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score206.2pts

Blue projected score224.2pts

Red win probability44%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 56%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -18.1
Score range: 176–254
Upset likelihood: 44%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 391 vs event baseline 164.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

492.9Season APEX825.1

24.4Auto49.4

132.4Teleop126.8

48.9Endgame34

20Consistency50

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	37
teleop	5	217
endgame	23	88
foul	5	5
total	44	347

Result

Final score

44 – 347

Prediction correct · off by 142.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.