CA District Silicon Valley Event presented by Apple

Qualification · Qualification 18

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

209.05 – 51.54

88%12%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

155 – 141

Prediction correct · off by 71.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 593.4 ±11.2

6962Antares

Season APEX 188.2Event APEX 37.16Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10644West Coast Warriors

Season APEX 58.2Event APEX 62.69Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

581Blazing Bulldogs

Season APEX 347Event APEX 109.2Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 492.4 ±10.5

1967The Janksters

Season APEX 141.2Event APEX 16.38Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1700Gatorbotics

Season APEX 69Event APEX 2.64Rank 20Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3256WarriorBorgs

Season APEX 282.2Event APEX 32.52Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6962, 10644, 581

/ 100 compat

Projected

209.1 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 6962, 10644, 581

Auto

35.1 17%

Teleop

108.3 51%

Endgame

67.2 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1967, 1700, 3256

/ 100 compat

Projected

51.5 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 1967, 1700, 3256

Auto

6.8 13%

Teleop

47.3 88%

Endgame

-0.4 0%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.42 · Blue 0.89

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score209.1pts

Blue projected score51.5pts

Red win probability88%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 157.5
Score range: 23–238
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 296 vs event baseline 159.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

593.4Season APEX492.4

35.1Auto6.8

108.3Teleop47.3

67.2Endgame-0.4

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	42	40
teleop	72	76
endgame	26	10
foul	15	15
total	155	141

Result

Final score

155 – 141

Prediction correct · off by 71.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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