CA District Silicon Valley Event presented by Apple

Qualification · Qualification 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

38.31 – 410

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

15 – 401

Prediction correct · off by 16.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 304.8 ±11.1

6665C-Otters

Season APEX 176.2Event APEX 10.69Rank 37Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6822THE SHISHKABOTS

Season APEX 59.6Event APEX 3.98Rank 31Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1700Gatorbotics

Season APEX 69Event APEX 23.64Rank 20Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 592.2 ±11.1

254The Cheesy Poofs

Season APEX 437.9Event APEX 357.48Rank 1Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1351TKO

Season APEX 83.9Event APEX 30.64Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6059System Overload Robotics

Season APEX 70.4Event APEX 21.88Rank 21Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6665, 6822, 1700

/ 100 compat

Projected

38.3 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 6665, 6822, 1700

Auto

15.0 49%

Teleop

9.7 32%

Endgame

6.0 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 254, 1351, 6059

/ 100 compat

Projected

410 pts

~2.7 RP (district)

Teams: 254, 1351, 6059

Auto

74.7 19%

Teleop

232.9 59%

Endgame

89.0 22%

Strengths

· 254 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.48 · Blue 2.72

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score38.3pts

Blue projected score410pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 20%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -371.7
Score range: 2–446
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 416 vs event baseline 200.3.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

304.8Season APEX592.2

15Auto74.7

9.7Teleop232.9

6Endgame89

29Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	4	42
teleop	4	272
endgame	2	87
foul	5	0
total	15	401

Result

Final score

15 – 401

Prediction correct · off by 16.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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