Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
162.57 – 162.23
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
99 – 194
Prediction missed · off by 47.7 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 358.6 ±11
Season APEX 60.3Event APEX 12.15Rank 16Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 146.1Event APEX 76.54Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 152.2Event APEX 73.88Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 393 ±11
Season APEX 155.5Event APEX 84.92Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 72.6Event APEX 12.63Rank 27Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 164.9Event APEX 64.68Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10281, 8033, 840
71
/ 100 compatProjected
162.6 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 10281, 8033, 840
Auto
21.4 14%
Teleop
94.1 60%
Endgame
41.2 26%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 44%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5104, 8016, 7667
72
/ 100 compatProjected
162.2 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 5104, 8016, 7667
Auto
46.1 29%
Teleop
88.9 56%
Endgame
24.3 15%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 44%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.49 · Blue 1.44
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score162.6pts
Blue projected score162.2pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample182alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 44%, blue 39%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0.3
- Score range
- 139–186
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
358.6Season APEX393
21.4Auto46.1
94.1Teleop88.9
41.2Endgame24.3
27Consistency22
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 22 | 66 |
| teleop | 44 | 67 |
| endgame | 28 | 36 |
| foul | 5 | 25 |
| total | 99 | 194 |
Result
Final score
99 – 194
Prediction missed · off by 47.7 pts
Match videos
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