Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

494.42 – 158.87

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

502 – 142

Prediction correct · off by 12.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 849.2 ±9.3

1323MadTown Robotics

Season APEX 409.1Event APEX 333.99Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

253Boba Bots

Season APEX 108Event APEX 27.88Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5940BREAD

Season APEX 332.1Event APEX 132.55Rank 2Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 390.6 ±11

1280Ragin' C-Biscuits

Season APEX 38.5Event APEX 23.64Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3970Duncan Dynamics

Season APEX 199.9Event APEX 75.76Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

114Eaglestrike

Season APEX 152.2Event APEX 59.47Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1323, 253, 5940

/ 100 compat

Projected

494.4 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 1323, 253, 5940

Auto

94.4 19%

Teleop

300.6 61%

Endgame

94.5 19%

Strengths

· 1323 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1280, 3970, 114

/ 100 compat

Projected

158.9 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 1280, 3970, 114

Auto

31.5 20%

Teleop

94.1 59%

Endgame

33.0 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.56 · Blue 0.45

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score494.4pts

Blue projected score158.9pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 335.6
Score range: 137–516
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 644 vs event baseline 122.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

849.2Season APEX390.6

94.4Auto31.5

300.6Teleop94.1

94.5Endgame33

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	92	18
teleop	303	70
endgame	102	49
foul	5	5
total	502	142

Result

Final score

502 – 142

Prediction correct · off by 12.2 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.