Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

484.61 – 70.46

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

552 – 96

Prediction correct · off by 46.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 849.2 ±9.3

1323MadTown Robotics

Season APEX 409.1Event APEX 330.81Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

253Boba Bots

Season APEX 108Event APEX 24.58Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5940BREAD

Season APEX 332.1Event APEX 129.22Rank 2Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 251.7 ±11.6

6506Steel Boot Robotics

Season APEX 96.5Event APEX 17.46Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

649MSET Fish

Season APEX 104.7Event APEX 27.74Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2035The Rockin' Bots

Season APEX 50.5Event APEX 25.26Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1323, 253, 5940

/ 100 compat

Projected

484.6 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 1323, 253, 5940

Auto

94.2 20%

Teleop

289.0 60%

Endgame

95.3 20%

Strengths

· 1323 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6506, 649, 2035

/ 100 compat

Projected

70.5 pts

~0.4 RP (district)

Teams: 6506, 649, 2035

Auto

15.4 23%

Teleop

22.9 34%

Endgame

28.2 42%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.56 · Blue 0.44

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score484.6pts

Blue projected score70.5pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 414.2
Score range: 49–506
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 648 vs event baseline 119.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

849.2Season APEX251.7

94.2Auto15.4

289Teleop22.9

95.3Endgame28.2

0Consistency14

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	99	29
teleop	355	43
endgame	98	24
foul	0	0
total	552	96

Result

Final score

552 – 96

Prediction correct · off by 46.5 pts

Match videos

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