Qualification · Qualification 75

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

128.9 – 35.17

76%24%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

185 – 43

Prediction correct · off by 32 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 392.1 ±11.7

9114Rotationaries

Season APEX 30.5Event APEX 5.11Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5507Robotic Eagles

Season APEX 215.5Event APEX 53.93Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8033Highlander Robotics

Season APEX 146.1Event APEX 69.86Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 103.2 ±15.3

1280Ragin' C-Biscuits

Season APEX 38.5Event APEX 20.05Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8751Miramonte Robotics Team

Season APEX 20.1Event APEX 8.5Rank 37Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 76

7245LionBot Robotics

Season APEX 44.6Event APEX 6.62Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9114, 5507, 8033

/ 100 compat

Projected

128.9 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 9114, 5507, 8033

Auto

17.6 14%

Teleop

69.9 57%

Endgame

34.4 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1280, 8751, 7245

/ 100 compat

Projected

35.2 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 1280, 8751, 7245

Auto

10.8 29%

Teleop

21.8 58%

Endgame

4.8 13%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 44%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.03 · Blue 0.78

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score128.9pts

Blue projected score35.2pts

Red win probability76%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 44%, blue 24%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 93.7
Score range: 13–151
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 228 vs event baseline 120.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

392.1Season APEX103.2

17.6Auto10.8

69.9Teleop21.8

34.4Endgame4.8

0Consistency16

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	11
teleop	112	20
endgame	51	7
foul	0	5
total	185	43

Result

Final score

185 – 43

Prediction correct · off by 32 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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