Qualification · Qualification 72

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

64.44 – 152.94

25%75%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

55 – 149

Prediction correct · off by 6.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 131.1 ±13.3

2035The Rockin' Bots

Season APEX 50.5Event APEX 27.86Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4973Gator Gears

Season APEX 41.8Event APEX 5.89Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10221#1 Sea Bass

Season APEX 38.8Event APEX 30.69Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 389.7 ±11

840Aragon Robotics Team

Season APEX 152.2Event APEX 73.62Rank 3Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7667OtterBots

Season APEX 164.9Event APEX 66.34Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8016Eco Robotics

Season APEX 72.6Event APEX 12.98Rank 27Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2035, 4973, 10221

/ 100 compat

Projected

64.4 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 2035, 4973, 10221

Auto

15.4 25%

Teleop

28.3 47%

Endgame

17.1 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 840, 7667, 8016

/ 100 compat

Projected

152.9 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 840, 7667, 8016

Auto

28.5 19%

Teleop

93.5 63%

Endgame

26.1 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.88 · Blue 1.93

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score64.4pts

Blue projected score152.9pts

Red win probability25%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 33%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -88.5
Score range: 43–174
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 204 vs event baseline 118.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

131.1Season APEX389.7

15.4Auto28.5

28.3Teleop93.5

17.1Endgame26.1

0Consistency23

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	44
teleop	27	79
endgame	13	21
foul	5	5
total	55	149

Result

Final score

55 – 149

Prediction correct · off by 6.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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