Qualification · Qualification 66

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

207.5 – 54.51

87%13%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

74 – 34

Prediction correct · off by 77 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 580.1 ±11.1

6506Steel Boot Robotics

Season APEX 96.5Event APEX 25.78Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5940BREAD

Season APEX 332.1Event APEX 140.38Rank 2Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8852Drew Robotics

Season APEX 151.5Event APEX 41.34Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 166.6 ±13.3

10615Spartan110

Season APEX 71.5Event APEX 10.59Rank 17Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7245LionBot Robotics

Season APEX 44.6Event APEX 11.86Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2035The Rockin' Bots

Season APEX 50.5Event APEX 32.06Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6506, 5940, 8852

/ 100 compat

Projected

207.5 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 6506, 5940, 8852

Auto

36.0 18%

Teleop

118.0 58%

Endgame

50.5 25%

Strengths

· 5940 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10615, 7245, 2035

/ 100 compat

Projected

54.5 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 10615, 7245, 2035

Auto

17.0 31%

Teleop

18.4 34%

Endgame

18.7 35%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.16 · Blue 0.65

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score207.5pts

Blue projected score54.5pts

Red win probability87%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 32%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 153
Score range: 34–229
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 108 vs event baseline 116.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

580.1Season APEX166.6

36Auto17

118Teleop18.4

50.5Endgame18.7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	16
teleop	38	12
endgame	21	6
foul	0	0
total	74	34

Result

Final score

74 – 34

Prediction correct · off by 77 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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