Qualification · Qualification 61

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

57.54 – 89.75

40%60%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

39 – 128

Prediction correct · off by 28.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 171.8 ±13.9

7245LionBot Robotics

Season APEX 44.6Event APEX 14.49Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4765PWRUP

Season APEX 70.8Event APEX 18.1Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8840Bay Robotics

Season APEX 56.4Event APEX 24.95Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 251.3 ±12.2

4669Galileo Robotics

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX -9.54Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1280Ragin' C-Biscuits

Season APEX 38.5Event APEX 21.73Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5104BreakerBots

Season APEX 155.5Event APEX 77.56Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7245, 4765, 8840

/ 100 compat

Projected

57.5 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 7245, 4765, 8840

Auto

18.3 32%

Teleop

24.6 43%

Endgame

14.9 26%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4669, 1280, 5104

/ 100 compat

Projected

89.8 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 4669, 1280, 5104

Auto

26.0 28%

Teleop

49.3 53%

Endgame

17.5 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 26%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.16 · Blue 1.55

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score57.5pts

Blue projected score89.8pts

Red win probability40%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 26%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -32.2
Score range: 37–111
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 167 vs event baseline 118.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

171.8Season APEX251.3

18.3Auto26

24.6Teleop49.3

14.9Endgame17.5

10Consistency75

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	30
teleop	15	79
endgame	3	19
foul	0	0
total	39	128

Result

Final score

39 – 128

Prediction correct · off by 28.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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