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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.
FRCinsights
CA District San Francisco Event

Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

113.53 – 62.52

65%35%
Actual result
Winner

Red alliance

Final score

93 – 18

Prediction correct · off by 32.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 366 ±12.2
7667OtterBots
B
Season APEX 164.9Event APEX 65.35Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
6506Steel Boot Robotics
C
Season APEX 96.5Event APEX 20.27Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
4159CardinalBotics
C
Season APEX 104.6Event APEX 27.91Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 359.7 ±12.8
4186Alameda Aztechs Robotics
C
Season APEX 86.9Event APEX 5.1Rank 31Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
4669Galileo Robotics
D
Season APEX 57.3Event APEX 0.38Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
5507Robotic Eagles
B
Season APEX 215.5Event APEX 57.04Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7667, 6506, 4159
57
/ 100 compat
Projected
113.5 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 7667, 6506, 4159
Auto
31.9 29%
Teleop
55.2 51%
Endgame
22.1 20%
Strengths
  • · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 38%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4186, 4669, 5507
42
/ 100 compat
Projected
62.5 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 4186, 4669, 5507
Auto
11.0 19%
Teleop
29.3 49%
Endgame
19.1 32%
Strengths
  • · Reliable endgame stack
  • · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 38%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.73 · Blue 1.03
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score113.5pts
Blue projected score62.5pts
Red win probability65%
Event bonus sample182alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 38%, blue 30%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
51
Score range
39–138
Upset likelihood
35%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 111 vs event baseline 131.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

366Season APEX359.7
31.9Auto11
55.2Teleop29.3
22.1Endgame19.1
14Consistency52

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto1412
teleop586
endgame210
foul00
total9318

Result

Final score

93 – 18

Prediction correct · off by 32.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

Match videos

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