Qualification · Qualification 57
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
9.08 – 153.8
14%86%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
51 – 209
Prediction correct · off by 48.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 160.3 ±13.3
Season APEX 60.3Event APEX -2.78Rank 16Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 55.4Event APEX 0.82Rank 38Record 2-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 44.6Event APEX 11.04Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 473.6 ±11.7
Season APEX 104.6Event APEX 26.76Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 146.1Event APEX 60.73Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 222.9Event APEX 66.31Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10281, 11230, 7245
3
/ 100 compatProjected
9.1 pts
~0.6 RP (district)
Teams: 10281, 11230, 7245
Auto
8.1 100%
Teleop
-1.9 0%
Endgame
1.7 22%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 25%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 4159, 8033, 841
75
/ 100 compatProjected
153.8 pts
~2.2 RP (district)
Teams: 4159, 8033, 841
Auto
27.5 18%
Teleop
81.3 54%
Endgame
40.6 27%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 25%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.58 · Blue 2.2
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score9.1pts
Blue projected score153.8pts
Red win probability14%
Event bonus sample182alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 25%, blue 44%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -144.7
- Score range
- -12–175
- Upset likelihood
- 14%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
160.3Season APEX473.6
8.1Auto27.5
-1.9Teleop81.3
1.7Endgame40.6
45Consistency29
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 18 | 29 |
| teleop | 16 | 103 |
| endgame | 17 | 47 |
| foul | 0 | 30 |
| total | 51 | 209 |
Result
Final score
51 – 209
Prediction correct · off by 48.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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