Qualification · Qualification 55

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

136.92 – 167.69

41%59%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

137 – 206

Prediction correct · off by 19.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 384.9 ±13.9

8751Miramonte Robotics Team

Season APEX 20.1Event APEX 5.04Rank 37Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 76

3970Duncan Dynamics

Season APEX 199.9Event APEX 66.85Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7667OtterBots

Season APEX 164.9Event APEX 65.03Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 508.5 ±11.2

5700SOTA Cyberdragons

Season APEX 104.9Event APEX 25.48Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10615Spartan110

Season APEX 71.5Event APEX 7.53Rank 17Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5940BREAD

Season APEX 332.1Event APEX 134.68Rank 2Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8751, 3970, 7667

/ 100 compat

Projected

136.9 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 8751, 3970, 7667

Auto

28.6 21%

Teleop

85.9 64%

Endgame

19.3 14%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5700, 10615, 5940

/ 100 compat

Projected

167.7 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 5700, 10615, 5940

Auto

41.1 24%

Teleop

98.3 58%

Endgame

29.4 17%

Strengths

· 5940 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.24 · Blue 1.72

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score136.9pts

Blue projected score167.7pts

Red win probability41%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -30.8
Score range: 116–189
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 343 vs event baseline 115.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

384.9Season APEX508.5

28.6Auto41.1

85.9Teleop98.3

19.3Endgame29.4

17Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	21	49
teleop	85	103
endgame	31	54
foul	0	0
total	137	206

Result

Final score

137 – 206

Prediction correct · off by 19.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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