Qualification · Qualification 50
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
88.11 – 39.97
65%35%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
34 – 33
Prediction correct · off by 30.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 300.7 ±12.8
Season APEX 164.9Event APEX 70.6Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 78.8Event APEX 13.4Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 57Event APEX 4.11Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 166.5 ±15.8
Season APEX 20.1Event APEX 7.62Rank 37Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 76
Season APEX 41.8Event APEX 3.89Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 104.6Event APEX 28.46Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7667, 6918, 8045
53
/ 100 compatProjected
88.1 pts
~1.6 RP (district)
Teams: 7667, 6918, 8045
Auto
30.2 35%
Teleop
46.4 53%
Endgame
10.9 12%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 25%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8751, 4973, 4159
30
/ 100 compatProjected
40 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 8751, 4973, 4159
Auto
13.3 32%
Teleop
24.7 60%
Endgame
3.0 7%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 25%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.59 · Blue 1.06
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score88.1pts
Blue projected score40pts
Red win probability65%
Event bonus sample182alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 25%, blue 30%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 48.1
- Score range
- 19–109
- Upset likelihood
- 35%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
300.7Season APEX166.5
30.2Auto13.3
46.4Teleop24.7
10.9Endgame3
83Consistency12
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 9 | 19 |
| teleop | 14 | 6 |
| endgame | 11 | 3 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 34 | 33 |
Result
Final score
34 – 33
Prediction correct · off by 30.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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