Qualification · Qualification 42

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

26.68 – 42.19

45%55%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

52 – 179

Prediction correct · off by 81.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 250.6 ±13.3

4669Galileo Robotics

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX -10.48Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4973Gator Gears

Season APEX 41.8Event APEX -1.58Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8852Drew Robotics

Season APEX 151.5Event APEX 38.74Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 248.2 ±14.4

5104BreakerBots

Season APEX 155.5Event APEX 50.86Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8016Eco Robotics

Season APEX 72.6Event APEX 0.58Rank 27Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8751Miramonte Robotics Team

Season APEX 20.1Event APEX -9.25Rank 37Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 76

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4669, 4973, 8852

/ 100 compat

Projected

26.7 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 4669, 4973, 8852

Auto

0.3 1%

Teleop

18.9 63%

Endgame

10.8 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5104, 8016, 8751

/ 100 compat

Projected

42.2 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 5104, 8016, 8751

Auto

23.8 58%

Teleop

21.3 52%

Endgame

-4.3 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 24%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.21 · Blue 1.47

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score26.7pts

Blue projected score42.2pts

Red win probability45%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 24%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -15.5
Score range: 7–62
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 231 vs event baseline 112.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

250.6Season APEX248.2

0.3Auto23.8

18.9Teleop21.3

10.8Endgame-4.3

136Consistency163

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	31
teleop	22	100
endgame	16	33
foul	0	15
total	52	179

Result

Final score

52 – 179

Prediction correct · off by 81.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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