Qualification · Qualification 4
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
40.65 – 94.6
34%66%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
36 – 118
Prediction correct · off by 14 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 315.8 ±14.8
Season APEX 151.5Event APEX 24.97Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 20.1Event APEX 8.76Rank 37Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 76
Season APEX 144.2Event APEX 6.92Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 315.6 ±11.7
Season APEX 108Event APEX 28.48Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 55.4Event APEX 12.26Rank 38Record 2-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 152.2Event APEX 53.86Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8852, 8751, 11463
34
/ 100 compatProjected
40.7 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 8852, 8751, 11463
Auto
6.9 17%
Teleop
21.9 55%
Endgame
11.0 28%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 26%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 253, 11230, 114
51
/ 100 compatProjected
94.6 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 253, 11230, 114
Auto
26.6 31%
Teleop
38.8 45%
Endgame
20.8 24%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 26%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1 · Blue 1.67
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score40.7pts
Blue projected score94.6pts
Red win probability34%
Event bonus sample182alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 26%, blue 28%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -53.9
- Score range
- 17–119
- Upset likelihood
- 34%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
315.8Season APEX315.6
6.9Auto26.6
21.9Teleop38.8
11Endgame20.8
25Consistency43
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 10 | 32 |
| teleop | 22 | 62 |
| endgame | 4 | 24 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 36 | 118 |
Result
Final score
36 – 118
Prediction correct · off by 14 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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