Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 4

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

40.6594.6

34%66%
Actual result
Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

36118

Prediction correct · off by 14 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 315.8 ±14.8
Season APEX 151.5Event APEX 24.97Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 20.1Event APEX 8.76Rank 37Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 76
Season APEX 144.2Event APEX 6.92Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 315.6 ±11.7
Season APEX 108Event APEX 28.48Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 55.4Event APEX 12.26Rank 38Record 2-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 152.2Event APEX 53.86Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8852, 8751, 11463
34
/ 100 compat
Projected
40.7 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 8852, 8751, 11463
Auto
6.9 17%
Teleop
21.9 55%
Endgame
11.0 28%
Strengths
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 26%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 253, 11230, 114
51
/ 100 compat
Projected
94.6 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 253, 11230, 114
Auto
26.6 31%
Teleop
38.8 45%
Endgame
20.8 24%
Strengths
  • · Strong autonomous coverage
  • · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 26%
Supercharged: 5%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1 · Blue 1.67
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score40.7pts
Blue projected score94.6pts
Red win probability34%
Event bonus sample182alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 26%, blue 28%
Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
-53.9
Score range
17119
Upset likelihood
34%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 154 vs event baseline 131.3.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

315.8Season APEX315.6
6.9Auto26.6
21.9Teleop38.8
11Endgame20.8
25Consistency43

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto1032
teleop2262
endgame424
foul00
total36118

Result

Final score

36118

Prediction correct · off by 14 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

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