Qualification · Qualification 37

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

47.89 – 210.74

12%88%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

81 – 196

Prediction correct · off by 23.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 243 ±11.6

1280Ragin' C-Biscuits

Season APEX 38.5Event APEX 10.89Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6506Steel Boot Robotics

Season APEX 96.5Event APEX 22.91Rank 11Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

253Boba Bots

Season APEX 108Event APEX 14.09Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 520 ±11.2

8033Highlander Robotics

Season APEX 146.1Event APEX 64.31Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5940BREAD

Season APEX 332.1Event APEX 140.88Rank 2Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4973Gator Gears

Season APEX 41.8Event APEX 5.55Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1280, 6506, 253

/ 100 compat

Projected

47.9 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 1280, 6506, 253

Auto

12.6 26%

Teleop

22.3 46%

Endgame

13.1 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8033, 5940, 4973

/ 100 compat

Projected

210.7 pts

~2.3 RP (district)

Teams: 8033, 5940, 4973

Auto

42.1 20%

Teleop

119.6 57%

Endgame

49.2 23%

Strengths

· 5940 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.57 · Blue 2.29

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score47.9pts

Blue projected score210.7pts

Red win probability12%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 27%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -162.9
Score range: 28–231
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 277 vs event baseline 113.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

243Season APEX520

12.6Auto42.1

22.3Teleop119.6

13.1Endgame49.2

22Consistency21

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	26	19
teleop	37	137
endgame	8	40
foul	10	0
total	81	196

Result

Final score

81 – 196

Prediction correct · off by 23.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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