Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

105.48 – 403.4

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

30 – 428

Prediction correct · off by 50 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 438.5 ±12.2

5507Robotic Eagles

Season APEX 215.5Event APEX 53.87Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11463SHC Robotics

Season APEX 144.2Event APEX 29.42Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6918Napa Cellar Rats

Season APEX 78.8Event APEX 22.19Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 713.9 ±9.8

1323MadTown Robotics

Season APEX 409.1Event APEX 329.57Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5700SOTA Cyberdragons

Season APEX 104.9Event APEX 15.01Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3970Duncan Dynamics

Season APEX 199.9Event APEX 58.82Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5507, 11463, 6918

/ 100 compat

Projected

105.5 pts

~0.4 RP (district)

Teams: 5507, 11463, 6918

Auto

27.2 26%

Teleop

58.9 56%

Endgame

18.3 18%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1323, 5700, 3970

/ 100 compat

Projected

403.4 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 1323, 5700, 3970

Auto

60.8 15%

Teleop

251.0 62%

Endgame

94.4 23%

Strengths

· 1323 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.43 · Blue 2.55

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score105.5pts

Blue projected score403.4pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 12%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -297.9
Score range: 85–423
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 458 vs event baseline 111.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

438.5Season APEX713.9

27.2Auto60.8

58.9Teleop251

18.3Endgame94.4

45Consistency26

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	83
teleop	1	272
endgame	9	73
foul	0	0
total	30	428

Result

Final score

30 – 428

Prediction correct · off by 50 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.