Qualification · Qualification 32

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

62.1 – 99.08

39%61%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

31 – 97

Prediction correct · off by 16.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 177.2 ±13.3

8840Bay Robotics

Season APEX 56.4Event APEX 12.68Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4904Bot-Provoking

Season APEX 65.4Event APEX 15.78Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11230White Hat Hackers

Season APEX 55.4Event APEX 33.64Rank 38Record 2-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 298.7 ±11.7

7245LionBot Robotics

Season APEX 44.6Event APEX 16.66Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8033Highlander Robotics

Season APEX 146.1Event APEX 72.68Rank 5Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

253Boba Bots

Season APEX 108Event APEX 9.74Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8840, 4904, 11230

/ 100 compat

Projected

62.1 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 8840, 4904, 11230

Auto

18.7 31%

Teleop

23.4 39%

Endgame

18.5 31%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7245, 8033, 253

/ 100 compat

Projected

99.1 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 7245, 8033, 253

Auto

24.9 26%

Teleop

47.7 51%

Endgame

21.4 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 23%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.05 · Blue 1.62

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score62.1pts

Blue projected score99.1pts

Red win probability39%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 23%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -37
Score range: 42–119
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 128 vs event baseline 112.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

177.2Season APEX298.7

18.7Auto24.9

23.4Teleop47.7

18.5Endgame21.4

92Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	16
teleop	9	56
endgame	4	25
foul	5	0
total	31	97

Result

Final score

31 – 97

Prediction correct · off by 16.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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