Qualification · Qualification 27

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

69.52 – 72.91

49%51%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

19 – 78

Prediction correct · off by 27.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 137.3 ±13.3

4973Gator Gears

Season APEX 41.8Event APEX 25.27Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8045The Wallace Dynasty

Season APEX 57Event APEX 14.9Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1280Ragin' C-Biscuits

Season APEX 38.5Event APEX 29.35Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 311.8 ±12.2

5700SOTA Cyberdragons

Season APEX 104.9Event APEX 19.11Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8852Drew Robotics

Season APEX 151.5Event APEX 33.48Rank 28Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11230White Hat Hackers

Season APEX 55.4Event APEX 20.32Rank 38Record 2-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4973, 8045, 1280

/ 100 compat

Projected

69.5 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 4973, 8045, 1280

Auto

7.4 11%

Teleop

41.8 61%

Endgame

19.3 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5700, 8852, 11230

/ 100 compat

Projected

72.9 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 5700, 8852, 11230

Auto

25.3 32%

Teleop

44.8 57%

Endgame

9.1 11%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 21%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.26 · Blue 1.35

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score69.5pts

Blue projected score72.9pts

Red win probability49%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 21%, blue 26%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -3.4
Score range: 51–92
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 97 vs event baseline 107.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

137.3Season APEX311.8

7.4Auto25.3

41.8Teleop44.8

19.3Endgame9.1

75Consistency72

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	13
teleop	5	43
endgame	0	22
foul	0	0
total	19	78

Result

Final score

19 – 78

Prediction correct · off by 27.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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