Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

76.16 – 85.14

47%53%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

81 – 49

Prediction missed · off by 20.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 309.9 ±12.2

4904Bot-Provoking

Season APEX 65.4Event APEX -8.72Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7245LionBot Robotics

Season APEX 44.6Event APEX 60.81Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3970Duncan Dynamics

Season APEX 199.9Event APEX 24.07Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 242.4 ±13.3

11463SHC Robotics

Season APEX 144.2Event APEX -19.41Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8840Bay Robotics

Season APEX 56.4Event APEX 46.82Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4973Gator Gears

Season APEX 41.8Event APEX 57.73Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4904, 7245, 3970

/ 100 compat

Projected

76.2 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 4904, 7245, 3970

Auto

6.6 9%

Teleop

41.8 56%

Endgame

26.4 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11463, 8840, 4973

/ 100 compat

Projected

85.1 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 11463, 8840, 4973

Auto

13.5 16%

Teleop

47.6 56%

Endgame

23.2 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.28 · Blue 1.42

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score76.2pts

Blue projected score85.1pts

Red win probability47%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 27%, blue 27%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -9
Score range: 56–105
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 130 vs event baseline 110.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

309.9Season APEX242.4

6.6Auto13.5

41.8Teleop47.6

26.4Endgame23.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	14
teleop	29	23
endgame	38	12
foul	0	0
total	81	49

Result

Final score

81 – 49

Prediction missed · off by 20.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.