Qualification · Qualification 16

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

18.74 – 82.8

31%69%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

25 – 82

Prediction correct · off by 3.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 234.5 ±13.3

8016Eco Robotics

Season APEX 72.6Event APEX -5.24Rank 27Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4159CardinalBotics

Season APEX 104.6Event APEX 36.77Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4669Galileo Robotics

Season APEX 57.3Event APEX -12.79Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 316.6 ±12.2

11243Cyber Knights

Season APEX 62.6Event APEX -0.18Rank 18Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1280Ragin' C-Biscuits

Season APEX 38.5Event APEX 56.78Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5507Robotic Eagles

Season APEX 215.5Event APEX 26.2Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8016, 4159, 4669

/ 100 compat

Projected

18.7 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 8016, 4159, 4669

Auto

9.2 51%

Teleop

17.2 95%

Endgame

-8.2 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11243, 1280, 5507

/ 100 compat

Projected

82.8 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 11243, 1280, 5507

Auto

17.7 21%

Teleop

56.2 66%

Endgame

11.0 13%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.92 · Blue 1.8

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score18.7pts

Blue projected score82.8pts

Red win probability31%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 25%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -64.1
Score range: -3–105
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 107 vs event baseline 119.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

234.5Season APEX316.6

9.2Auto17.7

17.2Teleop56.2

-8.2Endgame11

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	25
teleop	1	49
endgame	9	8
foul	0	0
total	25	82

Result

Final score

25 – 82

Prediction correct · off by 3.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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