Qualification · Qualification 15

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

367.67 – 33.97

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

491 – 145

Prediction correct · off by 117.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 849.2 ±9.3

5940BREAD

Season APEX 332.1Event APEX 116.03Rank 2Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1323MadTown Robotics

Season APEX 409.1Event APEX 207.51Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

253Boba Bots

Season APEX 108Event APEX 44.13Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 387.9 ±11.7

4765PWRUP

Season APEX 70.8Event APEX 24.33Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7667OtterBots

Season APEX 164.9Event APEX 9.05Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

114Eaglestrike

Season APEX 152.2Event APEX 0.59Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5940, 1323, 253

/ 100 compat

Projected

367.7 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 5940, 1323, 253

Auto

75.0 20%

Teleop

229.8 62%

Endgame

63.0 17%

Strengths

· 1323 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4765, 7667, 114

/ 100 compat

Projected

34 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 4765, 7667, 114

Auto

12.6 36%

Teleop

16.9 48%

Endgame

5.8 16%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.56 · Blue 0.51

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score367.7pts

Blue projected score34pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 333.7
Score range: 15–387
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 636 vs event baseline 105.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

849.2Season APEX387.9

75Auto12.6

229.8Teleop16.9

63Endgame5.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	95	31
teleop	291	81
endgame	100	28
foul	5	5
total	491	145

Result

Final score

491 – 145

Prediction correct · off by 117.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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