Qualification · Qualification 14
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
84.52 – 95.03
47%53%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
21 – 34
Prediction correct · off by 62.3 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 313.9 ±12.8
Season APEX 71.5Event APEX -14.25Rank 17Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 155.5Event APEX 64.22Rank 6Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 86.9Event APEX 34.55Rank 31Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 196 ±12.8
Season APEX 30.5Event APEX -6.07Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 60.6Event APEX 112.66Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 104.9Event APEX -11.56Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 10615, 5104, 4186
55
/ 100 compatProjected
84.5 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 10615, 5104, 4186
Auto
27.8 33%
Teleop
47.4 57%
Endgame
7.8 9%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 38%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9114, 2551, 5700
59
/ 100 compatProjected
95 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 9114, 2551, 5700
Auto
16.9 18%
Teleop
61.8 64%
Endgame
17.5 18%
Strengths
- · 2551 anchors offense
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 38%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.37 · Blue 1.51
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score84.5pts
Blue projected score95pts
Red win probability47%
Event bonus sample182alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 38%, blue 35%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 7%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -10.5
- Score range
- 65–115
- Upset likelihood
- 47%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
313.9Season APEX196
27.8Auto16.9
47.4Teleop61.8
7.8Endgame17.5
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 8 | 19 |
| teleop | 1 | 7 |
| endgame | 12 | 8 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 21 | 34 |
Result
Final score
21 – 34
Prediction correct · off by 62.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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