Qualification · Qualification 11
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
156.08 – 34.66
82%18%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
36 – 54
Prediction missed · off by 69.7 points
Limited current-season data (10 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 341 ±12.2
Season APEX 44.6Event APEX 109.77Rank 34Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 152.2Event APEX 35.11Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 144.2Event APEX 11.2Rank 32Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 295.6 ±12.2
Season APEX 73.4Event APEX 35.37Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 57.3Event APEX -11.07Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 164.9Event APEX 10.36Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7245, 114, 11463
79
/ 100 compatProjected
156.1 pts
~2.0 RP (district)
Teams: 7245, 114, 11463
Auto
27.9 18%
Teleop
98.7 63%
Endgame
30.3 19%
Strengths
- · 7245 anchors offense
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 29%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5171, 4669, 7667
44
/ 100 compatProjected
34.7 pts
~0.8 RP (district)
Teams: 5171, 4669, 7667
Auto
9.3 26%
Teleop
17.4 49%
Endgame
8.7 25%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 29%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.02 · Blue 0.77
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score156.1pts
Blue projected score34.7pts
Red win probability82%
Event bonus sample182alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 29%, blue 36%
Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 121.4
- Score range
- 14–177
- Upset likelihood
- 18%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
341Season APEX295.6
27.9Auto9.3
98.7Teleop17.4
30.3Endgame8.7
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 15 | 15 |
| teleop | 12 | 39 |
| endgame | 4 | 0 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 36 | 54 |
Result
Final score
36 – 54
Prediction missed · off by 69.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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