Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

493.86 – 146.56

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

498 – 98

Prediction correct · off by 26.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 849.2 ±9.3

1323MadTown Robotics

Season APEX 409.1Event APEX 333.93Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

253Boba Bots

Season APEX 108Event APEX 28.14Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5940BREAD

Season APEX 332.1Event APEX 131.79Rank 2Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 390.6 ±11

114Eaglestrike

Season APEX 152.2Event APEX 55.39Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3970Duncan Dynamics

Season APEX 199.9Event APEX 71.74Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1280Ragin' C-Biscuits

Season APEX 38.5Event APEX 19.43Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1323, 253, 5940

/ 100 compat

Projected

493.9 pts

~2.6 RP (district)

Teams: 1323, 253, 5940

Auto

92.9 19%

Teleop

292.0 60%

Endgame

105.4 21%

Strengths

· 1323 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 114, 3970, 1280

/ 100 compat

Projected

146.6 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 114, 3970, 1280

Auto

32.9 23%

Teleop

78.4 55%

Endgame

30.6 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.56 · Blue 0.45

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score493.9pts

Blue projected score146.6pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 347.3
Score range: 124–517
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 596 vs event baseline 129.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

849.2Season APEX390.6

92.9Auto32.9

292Teleop78.4

105.4Endgame30.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	91	33
teleop	270	38
endgame	127	12
foul	10	15
total	498	98

Result

Final score

498 – 98

Prediction correct · off by 26.3 pts

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