Final · Finals 1
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
496.5 – 153.7
98%2%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
471 – 81
Prediction correct · off by 49.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 849.2 ±9.3
Season APEX 409.1Event APEX 334.63Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 108Event APEX 28.81Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 332.1Event APEX 133.06Rank 2Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 390.6 ±11
Season APEX 38.5Event APEX 21.94Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 199.9Event APEX 73.87Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 152.2Event APEX 57.89Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1323, 253, 5940
80
/ 100 compatProjected
496.5 pts
~2.6 RP (district)
Teams: 1323, 253, 5940
Auto
95.4 19%
Teleop
297.6 60%
Endgame
99.3 20%
Strengths
- · 1323 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 46%
Supercharged: 12%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1280, 3970, 114
71
/ 100 compatProjected
153.7 pts
~0.5 RP (district)
Teams: 1280, 3970, 114
Auto
35.4 24%
Teleop
81.7 54%
Endgame
33.1 22%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 46%
Supercharged: 12%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.56 · Blue 0.45
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score496.5pts
Blue projected score153.7pts
Red win probability98%
Event bonus sample182alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 46%, blue 34%
Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 5%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 342.8
- Score range
- 131–520
- Upset likelihood
- 2%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
849.2Season APEX390.6
95.4Auto35.4
297.6Teleop81.7
99.3Endgame33.1
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 73 | 9 |
| teleop | 249 | 46 |
| endgame | 149 | 11 |
| foul | 0 | 15 |
| total | 471 | 81 |
Result
Final score
471 – 81
Prediction correct · off by 49.1 pts
Match videos
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