Qualification · Qualification 72
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
66.57 – 136.67
29%71%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
71 – 174
Prediction correct · off by 20.9 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 183.9 ±14.9
Season APEX 24.2Event APEX 13.69Rank 33Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 76
Season APEX 127.9Event APEX 56.04Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 31.8Event APEX -3.16Rank 38Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 336 ±11.7
Season APEX 71.4Event APEX 21.28Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 164.1Event APEX 65.11Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 100.5Event APEX 50.28Rank 8Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 2827, 2984, 9573
38
/ 100 compatProjected
66.6 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 2827, 2984, 9573
Auto
14.8 24%
Teleop
20.3 33%
Endgame
26.2 43%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 37%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 5514, 5474, 812
63
/ 100 compatProjected
136.7 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 5514, 5474, 812
Auto
20.1 15%
Teleop
63.2 49%
Endgame
46.9 36%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 37%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.01 · Blue 1.91
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score66.6pts
Blue projected score136.7pts
Red win probability29%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 37%, blue 46%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -70.1
- Score range
- 45–159
- Upset likelihood
- 29%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
183.9Season APEX336
14.8Auto20.1
20.3Teleop63.2
26.2Endgame46.9
1Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 24 | 28 |
| teleop | 29 | 101 |
| endgame | 18 | 45 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 71 | 174 |
Result
Final score
71 – 174
Prediction correct · off by 20.9 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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